According to @CoinMarketCap, crypto investment products recorded $454 million of net outflows last week, led by $405 million in Bitcoin withdrawals as investors reacted to fading odds of a March Federal Reserve rate cut; source: CoinMarketCap on X, Jan 12, 2026. Based on those figures, non-Bitcoin products saw roughly $49 million in outflows and BTC accounted for about 89% of total redemptions; source: CoinMarketCap on X, Jan 12, 2026. The outflows were explicitly linked to investor concern over the diminishing prospects of a March Fed cut, indicating rate expectations drove last week’s risk reduction; source: CoinMarketCap on X, Jan 12, 2026.

According to the source, Polymarket’s January Federal Reserve decision market is pricing an 87% chance that the Fed will not lower interest rates in January, based on live pricing on Polymarket (source: Polymarket). The implied probability is derived from prediction market prices and updates in real time as participants trade, providing a market-based gauge that crypto traders can monitor when assessing BTC and ETH positioning (source: Polymarket).

According to @CNBC, market-implied odds indicate the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates at the December 2025 meeting following the release of delayed September data (source: CNBC tweet dated Nov 20, 2025). For trading, this sets a hold-as-base-case path in rate futures into the December FOMC, aligning positioning with no near-term easing priced by markets (source: CNBC tweet dated Nov 20, 2025).

According to CoinMarketCap, crypto market fear is rising as Federal Reserve rate cut odds have crashed, highlighting a potential no-cut December scenario for traders to watch, source: CoinMarketCap on X, Nov 13, 2025. According to CoinMarketCap, community creators Doodles and Sasha_why_N are posting real-time reactions on the CoinMarketCap Community page, offering intraday sentiment signals for market participants, source: CoinMarketCap on X, Nov 13, 2025. According to CoinMarketCap, the dedicated Community topic provides ongoing updates that traders can monitor for volatility cues into the December FOMC window, source: CoinMarketCap Community, linked by CoinMarketCap on X, Nov 13, 2025.